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Expectations of her are so low, I believe she has a good chance of 'winning' by merely surviving. Biden, too, is known for putting his foot in his mouth. He could make a mistake that hands victory to Palin on a platter. But the main factor is, the level of negative perception of Palin is so great that the media will be ready for an about-face and will judge her to have done 'surprisingly well' -- as long as she doesn't absolutely trash herself.