The Social Prediction Community

Prediction Market Predictions

▼ advertisement
Bug Report & Feedback
If you found a bug or have any feedback for us, please tell us about it using our feedback form.

Best Buy vs. Apple in Music Download

[ Predicted ] No, at least not in 2008 (83% chance)
Best Buy is buying Napster, the second-place music subscription service, which has been losing money and subscribers. The deal is almost a rounding error for a company of Best Buy's size. The stated pr...
[ Closed ] on 2009-04-01 EDT, Unanswered
  131 News 2 Comments Report oWell oWell (*)

Google Prediction: Google shows banner or video ads in its search page in 2008

[ Predicted ] No, only shows text ads (78% chance)
The latest paid-click data for search engines shows that Americans are clicking on paid search ads less than we did last year--not an encouraging trend for the state of online advertising. For Google ...
[ Closed ] on 2009-01-01 EST, 1 Ziibos Answered
  206 News 7 Comments Report goog goog (*)
On Oct 24, 2007, Microsoft just bought 1.6 percent share of Facebook for $240 mil USD. That's equal to a value of $15 billion for this young site. After this news came out, there will probably be lo...
[ Closed ] on 2009-01-01 EST, Unanswered
  146 News 2 Comments Report Homer Homer (*)
Predict whether the Toronto Blue Jays will have a new General Manager or a vacant General Manager's position by the Winter Meetings in early December, 2008. Their present General Manager is J.P. Ricc...
[ Scored ] on 2008-12-03 EST
  0 News 3 Comments Report cougar222 cougar222 (*)
For those of you who still remember Steve Jobs's prediction of sellling 10 mil iPhones by the end of 2008, we just got an analyst who disagreed: http://blog.wired.... Just to be fair, we also got ...
[ Closed ] on 2009-01-01 EST, Unanswered
  201 News 2 Comments Report goog goog (*)
Intrade to be acquired by one of hte big US regulated exchanges in 2008
[ Closed ] on 2008-12-31 EST, Unanswered
  0 News 6 Comments Report heywood100 heywood100 (*)

Vista damage to Windows market share

[ Predicted ] 1% to 3% (50% chance)
There can be no doubt that Vista is a trainwreck. But opinions vary a great deal about whether or not is has damaged the brand "Windows" and the market share of Windows in the OS market. Some people...
[ Closed ] on 2008-12-31 EST, Unanswered
  59 News 4 Comments Report Tempus Tempus (*)

US Federal Rate on Dec 16, 2008

[ Predicted ] Remains at 1% (45% chance)
This topic is a continuation of the previous prediction: http://www.ziitren... On Oct 8 and Oct 28, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to slash its target from 2% all the way to 1%. So havi...
[ Closed ] on 2008-12-16 EST, Unanswered
  205 News 2 Comments Report Homer Homer (*)

US Federal Rate on Oct 28, 2008

[ End Result ] Decreases below 2%
This topic is a continuation of the previous prediction: http://www.ziitren... On Sep 16, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 2%. Economic act...
[ Scored ] on 2008-10-30 EDT
  33 News 5 Comments Report Homer Homer (*)

Canon EOS 6D (or a 5D replacement) announced in Sept 2008.

[ End Result ] Yes, 6D coming in Sept 2008
This prediction is inspired by a news entry from dpreview.com: "Canon has just added a mysterious teaser to its US website. The page shows a silhouette of a camera with the words 'Destined Evolution.'...
[ Scored ] on 2008-09-17 EDT
  1 News 4 Comments Report Homer Homer (*)

Will your employer use prediction market in 2008?

[ Predicted ] No, won't use it. (74% chance)
To help executives and managers to make tough decision on marketing and product forecast, many big companies are using internal prediction markets. Best Buy, Corning, Google and a bunch of other compa...
[ Closed ] on 2008-08-31 EDT, Unanswered
  117 News 3 Comments Report goog goog (*)
The free agent market in the NHL officially opens on July 1, 2008. Starting on this day, un-restricted free agents (UFAs) can begin signing with various teams, most likely the highest bidders. Whil...
[ Scored ] on 2008-09-05 EDT
  8 News 3 Comments Report black-shoulder black-shoulder (*)
An act of cruelty occurred this past week at the Greater Vancouver Zoo. The zoo was broken into, and the cage where the spider monkeys were kept were broken into. A 15-year-old male spider monkey, Jock...
[ Scored ] on 2008-07-08 EDT
  3 News 6 Comments Report black-shoulder black-shoulder (*)

What wil be the next trend in the us stock market?

[ Predicted ] Green energy (29% chance)
Every time there is a market bubble it is on a different topic, whether it was on manufacturing, technology or real-estate. what will be your prediction on the next bubble?
[ Closed ] on 2008-06-21 EDT, Unanswered
  227 News 15 Comments Report boori boori (*)

Market Crash is Coming

[ Predicted ] No market crash in 2008 (44% chance)
This prediction is inspired by the following article: "A Market Crash is Coming" http://www.fool.co... If you look at the historical date of the US stock market, you might notice the current marke...
[ Closed ] on 2008-07-01 EDT, Unanswered
  253 News 9 Comments Report goog goog (*)