The Social Prediction Community
Tags: h5n1 avian flu
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Ziibos (8)
DMMc (*)
ancienthart (*)
Homer (*)
estimator (*)
black-shoulder (*)
Guru (*)
MissPig (*)
freeman (*)
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Would the latest occurance of the H5N1 avian flu spread this summer?
Find out what outcome each Ziibo predicted.

Outcome: No, nothing will happen

2 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 82% chance

Outcome: Yes, spread to China

4 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 54% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 40% chance

Outcome: Yes, to the rest of Asia

2 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 55% chance
Predicted: 61% chance

Outcome: Yes, to the rest of the world

No Ziibo thinks this is the most likely outcome.