The Social Prediction Community
Tags: olympics protest beijing
Bookmark and Share
Suggested Predictions
Ziibos (11)
Homer (7)
Kaphis (*)
ancienthart (23)
cougar222 (20)
humme (37)
oWell (11)
banker (280)
ocRabbit (*)
more...
▼ advertisement
Challenge Your Friends
What is ZiiTrend?
Verifiable Prediction
Would the IOC stop the croos-nation Olympic torch relay before May?
black-shoulder ( Score Rank: #2 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) black-shoulder  |  was scored on 30-Apr-2008 (160 days ago)
As many of you may have heard, the cross-nation Olympic torch relay this year has been met with wild demonstrations and protests. In London, a man tried to wrestle the torch away from the torch carrier while another tried to put out the flames with a fire extinguisher. In France, the torch was actually put out 4 different times, and was met with heated demonstrations all over.

This probably was NOT what China was looking for when it planned for this cross-nation relay. The constant disruption has left some people suggesting that the IOC should pull the plug and restrict the relay to stops in China. What do you think?
Community Prediction in Chance
Community Accuracy:  73%
Top Predictor:   oWell (96% Accuracy)
ZiiValue
(chance)
Answer
Possible Outcomes
6%
This outcome did NOT happen.
24%
This outcome did NOT happen.
70%
This outcome happened!
Predictions
Hide ▲
  • Zoom:
  • Current
  • 7d
  • 1m
  • 3m
  • 6m
  • 1y
  • 2y
News & Video
Add News / Video 1 - 4 of 11 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-04-30
A
With 100 days to go, the battle has been lost to k... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-04-30
A
With 100 days to go, the battle has been lost to k... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-04-29
B
BEIJING - With 100 days to go, the battle has been... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-04-24
C
Vsthumb
In the biggest pro-Beijing rally of the protest-ma... (more)
Comments (8)
Add Comment
  1. black-shoulder black-shoulder 160 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] Continue with the relay
    (more)
    It's still going on, and the protests are still going on. China has managed to find enough "supporters" to out-crowd the protesters, preventing them from getting anywhere near the torch.
    [ reply ]
  2. Homer Homer 176 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 78% ] Continue with the relay
    (more)
    I agree with most of you that it is hard to completely stop the relay. And even for people who don't like China hosting the next Olympics, would want the relay to finish peacefully.
    [ reply ]
  3. ancienthart ancienthart 177 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 78% ] Continue with the relay
    (more)
    It'd be a first if it was completely stopped.
    [ reply ]
  4. banker banker 180 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 34% ] Have the relay only in China
    (more)
    It's a very important tradition for IOC which will surely try the best to complete it - even not disclosing the route.
    [ reply ]
  5. ocRabbit ocRabbit 180 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 79% ] Continue with the relay
    (more)
    It just passed the most damaging location: SF. It should be fairly safe for the rest of the relay.
    [ reply ]
  6. Wallace Wallace 180 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 92% ] Continue with the relay
    (more)
    No way the relay will be stopped. China will do everything it can to make it continue.
    [ reply ]
  7. nokia nokia 181 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 79% ] Continue with the relay
    (more)
    FACE means a lot for Chinese. The Chinese gov would feel embarrassed if IOC stops the relay.
    [ reply ]
    1. black-shoulder black-shoulder 181 days ago
      + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
      I understand... but at the same time, the IOC is taking a huge black eye in terms of its PR right now with protests breaking out everywhere. People are second and third-guessing why the games were awarded to China in the first place. And the Chinese aren't exactly showing off well when the relay is being ridiculed all over the world.

      The best save-face strategy may be to scale down the relay, or restrict it to states where both the IOC and China know that they would not be met with thousands of angry protesters. Or, just bring them back to China...
       
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction.
OR
Sign in if you are already an existing member.
Copyright ©2008 ZiiTrend. All Rights Reserved. - User supplied content, unless specified, is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 2.5.
ZiiTrend, Ziibo, ZiiValue, IPredict icon, ZiiTrend logos, graphics, designs, layout, buttons, icons, and scripts are the trademarks of ZiiTrend.
Information is provided 'as is' and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice, and may be delayed.
(Served in 0.488 seconds)