Would Green Party leader Elizabeth May be included in the leaders' debate?

• 63%
  accuracy

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Federal Green Party Leader Elizabeth May has demanded a spot on the federal election leaders' debate. Her demand is fueled by formerly independent MP Blair Wilson's decision to join the Green Party, making him the first MP the party has in the House of Commons.

Traditionally, the 2 debates (in French and English) feature the leaders of the Conservatives, the Liberals, the NDP, and the Bloc (even though they only have elected members in the province of Quebec). Five media networks, CBC, Radio-Canada, CTV, Global and TVA, form a consortium that holds the national debate. Small parties that do not have an elected member in the parliament are not invited traditionally, which includes the Green Party...

But, with a MP in the parliament now (be that he was not voted in as a member of the Green Party), the consortium can no longer use the "no MP" rule to exclude Elizabeth May. So far, she is not included - but would she be at the end?

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  63%

Top Predictor:   goog (100% Accuracy)

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Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

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	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	51%			Yes, she will be invited
	23%			No, she is excluded
	16%			Invited only to the Eng debate
	10%			Invited only to the Fr. debate

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