The Social Prediction Community
Tags: niger canada abduction
Bookmark and Share
Ziibos (7)
triguy77 (*)
DMMc (*)
seiright (18)
schieller (157)
puntfrunk (217)
poisontongue (315)
black-shoulder (*)
▼ advertisement
Challenge Your Friends
What is ZiiTrend?
Would Canadian envoy Robert Fowler return to safety before 2009?
black-shoulder ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) black-shoulder  |  closed on 31-Dec-2009 (70 days ago)
Confusion is added to the rapidly growing mystery surrounding UN's special envoy to Niger Robert Fowler. The Canadian, along with at least one more diplomat, was abducted earlier in the week.

Front des Forces de Redressement, a rebel group in Niger, initially claimed on its website that the diplomats were abducted by the group in response to the Canada's support to the Niger government. The same website, however, made another announcement the next day, denying that taking hostages would be a part of the group's strategy to make their voices heard. The group has called for the peaceful release of Fowler and the other diplomat, to "Canada or to the UN" as soon as possible.

All the confusion set aside, do you think Fowler would be returned to safety before the end of the year?
ZiiValue
(chance)
Answer
Possible Outcomes
39%
Not enough information to determine the result.
11%
Not enough information to determine the result.
49%
Not enough information to determine the result.
Predictions
Hide ▲
  • Zoom:
  • Current
  • 7d
  • 1m
  • 3m
  • 6m
  • 1y
  • 2y
News & Video
Add News / Video 1 - 4 of 13 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2009-12-05
A
Vsthumb
Kidnapping has become a lucrative business for Al-... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2009-09-08
 
A former United Nations special envoy to Niger who... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2009-04-23
 
Two Canadian diplomats and two European tourists h... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2009-04-22
 
T12404289001222990823
OTTAWA - Two Canadian diplomats kidnapped in Afric... (more)
Comments (1)
Add Comment
  1. black-shoulder black-shoulder 450 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 70% ] Yes, safely returned by Dec 31
    (more)
    The likelihood that the envoy is killed is very unlikely, in my opinion. I think, if the group has claimed that it has kidnapped the envoy, and then back-tracked the claim, it probably means that they DO have the envoys captured... Probably some behind-the-scene negotiations have taken place already, and that the envoys would be released before Christmas, hence the change in tune...
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction.
OR
Sign in if you are already an existing member.