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Will US Federal Reserve change its interest rate (of 4.50%) in Dec 11, 2007?
oilman ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) oilman  |  was scored on 11-Dec-2007 (696 days ago)
The US Fed has changed its target rate of from 4.75% to 4.50% in Oct 07. That definitely helped the market a bit. The next Fed meeting is Dec 11, 2007. Will US Federal Reserve continue to lower the interest rate this time? Here is the latest target rate for your reference:
http://www.bloomberg.com/...
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Comments (11)
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  1. oWell oWell 696 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] Decreases below 4.50%
    (more)
    down to 4.25%
    [ reply ]
  2. goog goog 698 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] Decreases below 4.50%
    (more)
    Everyone thinks it will go below 4.5, so am I.
    [ reply ]
  3. Guru Guru 703 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 82% ] Decreases below 4.50%
    (more)
    Yes, when the fed keeps hinting about the rate change, it will change.
    [ reply ]
  4. ace111 ace111 703 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 93% ] Decreases below 4.50%
    (more)
    it has hinted too much to decrease it ... no longer a guess here.
    [ reply ]
  5. ikki ikki 705 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    This is hard one
    [ reply ]
  6. Homer Homer 709 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 95% ] Decreases below 4.50%
    (more)
    Even the Fed’s vice chairman, Donald L. Kohn, hinted at a possible rate cut. And the whole market believes that. It would be disastrous if the Fed ends up NOT cutting the rate.
    [ reply ]
  7. oilman oilman 717 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 70% ] Decreases below 4.50%
    (more)
    Got to change my prediction. 4.25% seems quite likely now. According to this, quote:
    "Interest rate futures showed a 92 percent chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by one-quarter point to 4.25 percent on December 11."
    http://www.reuters.com/article/busine...
    [ reply ]
  8. MasterMind MasterMind 725 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 55% ] Decreases below 4.50%
    (more)
    4.25% seems quite likely.
    [ reply ]
    1. Milo Milo 724 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      I agree
       
  9. oWell oWell 731 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 63% ] Remains at 4.50%
    (more)
    heard that the problem of subprime has not been solved yet .. banks still hid the bad debts somehow.
    [ reply ]
  10. oilman oilman 731 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 51% ] Remains at 4.50%
    (more)
    I think the Red intends to lower the interest rate more. They are just doing it slowly. I say the chance of the rate going to 4.25% is quite high. I think the USD will continue to get weaker.
    [ reply ]
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