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Will US congressmen present evidence of Chinese hacking into their computers?
freeman ( Score Rank: #302 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) freeman  |  was scored on 21-Jul-2008 (83 days ago)
U.S. Congressmen Accuse China of Hacking Their Computers.

Virginia Rep. Frank Wolf said from the floor of the U.S. House of Representatives, "in August 2006, four of the computers in my personal office were compromised by an outside source. This source first hacked into the computer of my foreign policy and human rights staff person, then the computers of my chief of staff, my legislative director, and my judiciary staff person. On these computers was information about all of the casework I have done on behalf of political dissidents and human rights activists around the world."

So far, no evidence has been presented. Let's predict if this will happen in the near future. We will close this prediction next Saturday (June 21, 2008).
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Top Predictor:   cougar222 (100% Accuracy)
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Comments (9)
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  1. Arthur Arthur 83 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] No
    (more)
    no evidence is provided since then.
  2. ancienthart ancienthart 90 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] No
    (more)
    1. Did the attack actually originate from China?
    2. Is there evidence to be found?
    3. Would it be in the best political interest to reveal that evidence?

    One of the things that I learnt in the Chem. lab is that when you stack up % yields on top of each other, the overall chance of success becomes very low, very quickly.
    More likely the official involved will just keep doing what he's doing - accuse without offering proof. After all proof is just a pesky thing that gets in the way of a good argument.
  3. will101 will101 94 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 92% ] No
    (more)
    LOL. The kid in the picture is not even Chinese. Maybe he is hired by the Chinese to hack into his dad's computer?
  4. humme humme 111 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
  5. Tempus Tempus 122 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 75% ] No
    (more)
    Politicians routinely make claims with no evidence whatsoever. I don't think this case will be any different.
    1. Homer Homer 121 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Yeah, China is a good for target practice now especially when the Olympics are coming in summer. I am sure China has lots of capable hackers. I just don't think they want to damage the image of their own country at this point.
       
  6. black-shoulder black-shoulder 122 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 85% ] No
    (more)
    First off, I think it is naive to think that only China would have a team of hackers trying to get into other governments' systems to peek at some national secrets. Does China have them? I absolutely believe that they do, but so does the US, the UK, Iran, Iraq, Israel, and pretty well any country in the world.

    Would someone in the US have evidence of the hacking activities? Probably. But China would probably have some as well. These, in my opinion, are things that would never make it to the public.
  7. MasterMind MasterMind 122 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 79% ] Yes
    (more)
    I like the photo you picked for this prediction. Sweet little kid hacking away.
  8. freeman freeman 122 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] No
    (more)
    If there is evidence, they would have shown it already, unless they want to keep this news in the media for a longer period of time.
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