The Social Prediction Community
Tags: same-sex marria..
Bookmark and Share
Ziibos (16)
DMMc (11)
wayner2008 (37)
meanstreaks (21)
Pens101 (285)
humme (32)
victorp (334)
Kaphis (454)
ancienthart (32)
more...
▼ advertisement
Challenge Your Friends
What is ZiiTrend?
Will the US Federal Recognize Same-Sex Marriages by 2009?
banker ( Score Rank: #95 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) banker  |  will close on 01-Jan-2009 (124 days from now)
Bush had been strongly opposed the same-sex marriage legislation. After the election this Nov, will the US Federal pass the bill and recognize Same-Sex marriages by 2009? What do you think?
ZiiValue
(chance)
Possible Outcomes
14%
86%
Predictions
Hide ▲
  • Zoom:
  • Current
  • 7d
  • 1m
  • 3m
  • 6m
  • 1y
  • 2y
News & Video
Add News / Video 1 - 4 of 38 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-26
A
At the request of a lesbian couple, the Coquille I... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-21
B
Most states don't recognize gay marriage -- but no... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-20
C
Vsthumb
Four years ago state ballot measures were at the c... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-18
D
Four years ago state ballot measures were at the c... (more)
Comments (6)
Add Comment
  1. victorp victorp 136 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 71% ] No
    (more)
    It's funny that US is much more conservative than Canada.
    1. Homer Homer 136 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Yes, compared to the US melting pot policy, Canada is a lot more liberal in terms of religion, language and culture. But being conservative isn't necessary a bad thing.
       
  2. ancienthart ancienthart 137 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 90% ] No
    (more)
    Unlikely to occur.
  3. Homer Homer 142 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 65% ] Yes
    (more)
    Maybe not in 2009, but it can happen in 5 years. US has similar culture as Canada, and if it happens in Canada, it can happen in US. That's my argument.
  4. black-shoulder black-shoulder 143 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] No
    (more)
    As far as social issues are concerned, the US is actually one of the more conservative countries in the western world (by conservative I am not saying it's good or bad). There will be tremendous political pressure to NOT allow this to happen. I don't think it will happen that quickly, but probably it is inevitable.
  5. rubian rubian 143 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 85% ] No
    (more)
    surely it is a global trend for ever-increasing human right. the issue will be presented to the hose sooner or later. however, it is way too quick to pass the controversial law by 2009.
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction.
OR
Sign in if you are already an existing member.