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Will the US Federal Recognize Same-Sex Marriages by 2009?
banker ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) banker  |  closed on 01-Jan-2009 (324 days ago)
Bush had been strongly opposed the same-sex marriage legislation. After the election this Nov, will the US Federal pass the bill and recognize Same-Sex marriages by 2009? What do you think?
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14%
Not enough information to determine the result.
86%
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2009-11-21
 
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Comments (6)
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  1. victorp victorp 585 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 71% ] No
    (more)
    It's funny that US is much more conservative than Canada.
    [ reply ]
    1. Homer Homer 585 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Yes, compared to the US melting pot policy, Canada is a lot more liberal in terms of religion, language and culture. But being conservative isn't necessary a bad thing.
       
  2. ancienthart ancienthart 586 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 90% ] No
    (more)
    Unlikely to occur.
    [ reply ]
  3. Homer Homer 591 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 65% ] Yes
    (more)
    Maybe not in 2009, but it can happen in 5 years. US has similar culture as Canada, and if it happens in Canada, it can happen in US. That's my argument.
    [ reply ]
  4. black-shoulder black-shoulder 592 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] No
    (more)
    As far as social issues are concerned, the US is actually one of the more conservative countries in the western world (by conservative I am not saying it's good or bad). There will be tremendous political pressure to NOT allow this to happen. I don't think it will happen that quickly, but probably it is inevitable.
    [ reply ]
  5. rubian rubian 592 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 85% ] No
    (more)
    surely it is a global trend for ever-increasing human right. the issue will be presented to the hose sooner or later. however, it is way too quick to pass the controversial law by 2009.
    [ reply ]
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