The Social Prediction Community
Tags: tibet china protests
Bookmark and Share
Suggested Predictions
Ziibos (13)
cougar222 (*)
Wallace (*)
ace111 (*)
steveterrill (*)
AhDrew000 (*)
rubian (*)
turha (*)
black-shoulder (*)
more...
▼ advertisement
Challenge Your Friends
What is ZiiTrend?
Verifiable Prediction
Will the protests in Tibet spread Sichuan province before April?
black-shoulder ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) black-shoulder  |  was scored on 31-Mar-2008 (600 days ago)
Demonstrations in Tibet broke out earlier in the week. The latest news is that demonstrations have spread into the neighbouring Sichuan province. Do you think the protests will continue to grow into even more wide-spread demonstrations and protests?
Community Prediction in Chance
Community Accuracy:  51%
Top Predictor:   black-shoulder (95% Accuracy)
ZiiValue
(chance)
Answer
Possible Outcomes
9%
This outcome did NOT happen.
31%
This outcome happened!
8%
This outcome did NOT happen.
52%
This outcome did NOT happen.
Predictions
Hide ▲
  • Zoom:
  • Current
  • 7d
  • 1m
  • 3m
  • 6m
  • 1y
  • 2y
News & Video
Add News / Video 1 - 4 of 12 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-03-29
A
Vsthumb
Beijing will compensate victims of anti-government... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-03-29
A
China's Tibet problem got a human face this week i... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-03-25
B
Vsthumb
China Tuesday said attempts to disrupt the Olympic... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-03-24
C
Vsthumb
Protests against China's human rights record and c... (more)
Comments (12)
Add Comment
  1. yogeek yogeek 362 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    All Buddhists are dumbos They can't do nothing, They will wait almighty shit to come save them
    [ reply ]
  2. black-shoulder black-shoulder 600 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] Yes, to several more provinces
    (more)
    As I reported earlier, three neighbouring provinces have demonstrations and protests, and some violence have broken out as well. Let's just hope the violence will stop (whichever way it is coming from) and that the people of Tibet and the rest of China will deal with their differences in a peaceful and diplomatic way.
    [ reply ]
  3. Wallace Wallace 604 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] No
    (more)
    This prediction is almost over, and the Chinese government seems to keep things under control so far.
    [ reply ]
  4. AhDrew000 AhDrew000 605 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    They protested in Greece... I dont call that under control
    [ reply ]
  5. ace111 ace111 605 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] No
    (more)
    everything under control
    [ reply ]
  6. AhDrew000 AhDrew000 612 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    damn, I misclick and put in a wrong answer in my first vote. I hope it can fix itself since I correct it seconds later.
    [ reply ]
  7. black-shoulder black-shoulder 613 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    According to Ming Pao in Hong Kong, the protests and demonstrations have spread into 3 other neighbouring provinces. While none of the demonstrations are of the scale like those in Lhasa, I guess the prediction has its answer already... :p
    [ reply ]
  8. black-shoulder black-shoulder 613 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 65% ] Yes, to several more provinces
    (more)
    Protests have already spread to a third province with minor demonstrations... It's "interesting' to see how the different media outlets are looking at this incident: some are showing repeatedly how the Chinese government are trying to suppress the protest, while others are showing how some protesters are destroying materials everywhere. I think if we combine the two different types of picture, we will get a more accurate picture of what is actually happening.
    [ reply ]
    1. rubian rubian 613 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      it's how the government controls the media: some want to picture the violence side of the riots; some (esp. foreign / right-wing news) want to picture the dictatorship. both pictures may or may not be accurate. in this incident, i tend to believe that the chinese gov. is completely controlling the media.
       
  9. ocRabbit ocRabbit 614 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 62% ] It'll stay in Tibet & Sichuan
    (more)
    it will not wide spread in China as the majority may not be too concerned about Tibet. however, it's definitely lots of international protests as it is a a golden time to press on the communist gov. during the Olympics period.
    [ reply ]
  10. freeman freeman 614 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 88% ] Yes, to several more provinces
    (more)
    The Chinese government knows how to use the global media well this time. Getting smarter, I should say. Better to have the world sees the ugly side of Tibet protests so the government can extreme measures before/during the Olympics without the Western world questioning them.
    [ reply ]
  11. Tony Tony 614 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 89% ] No
    (more)
    No, I am sure the Chinese government will control the situation.
    [ reply ]
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction.
OR
Sign in if you are already an existing member.
Copyright ©2009 ZiiTrend. All Rights Reserved. - User supplied content, unless specified, is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 2.5.
ZiiTrend, Ziibo, ZiiValue, IPredict icon, ZiiTrend logos, graphics, designs, layout, buttons, icons, and scripts are the trademarks of ZiiTrend.
Information is provided 'as is' and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice, and may be delayed.
(Served in 0.499 seconds)