What if you can see the future?
Top Predictor
AhDrew000
accuracy: 98%
Suggested Predictions
Ziibos (6)
cougar222 (398)
goog (3091)
AhDrew000 (1546)
crown (287)
nilimit (310)
black-shoulder (4806)
▼ advertisement
What is ZiiTrend?
Verifiable Prediction
Will the Liberals try a non-confidence vote to bring down the Conservatives?
was scored on 2008-04-30 EDT
The Liberal Party of Canada won 3 of the 4 by-elections on March 17 (All four seats were previously Liberal seats). The strong showing causes some people to speculate that liberal leader Stephane Dion would now force a federal election by bringing some type of a non-confidence vote (no major bills like the budget is coming soon, so they can't just vote down a bill to bring an election).

Do you think the Liberals would table a non-confidence vote to try to bring down the minority conservatives government?
Community Prediction:
ZiiValue
(chance) 		Answer
Possible Outcomes
9%
This outcome did NOT happen.
91%
This outcome happened!
2 News 6 Comments Report black-shoulder black-shoulder (4806)
Predictions
Legend ▼
News & Video (2)
Add News / Video 1 - 2 of 2 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
 
2008-03-18
Dion would not speculate what to do next
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
 
2008-03-18
Star Liberal candidates Bob Rae and Martha Hall Fi... (more)
Comments (6)
Add Comment
  1. black-shoulder black-shoulder 16 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] No
    (more)
    At least, for now, the Liberals are holding their horses...
    [ reply ]
  2. AhDrew000 AhDrew000 57 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Dion cant win. The liberal is in a bad situation in that they dont have enough of a reason internally, to take down Dion and change leader, on the other hand, they have like NO CHANCE against the conservatives with Dion as leader unless the conservatives do something really really stupid.
    The biggest problem with Dion for me is his English. I cant tell what he say most of the time. Then on top of that he just give us the impression that he is a very indecisive person.
    [ reply ]
    1. AhDrew000 AhDrew000 57 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Add in the fact that Canada's economy is so much better relative to US at the current moment, I dont think now is the right time for an election. Once the economy is being drag down more by US, it would be a better time to take the Conservatives down.
  3. crown crown 59 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 81% ] No
    (more)
    Harper is doing a very good job in leading the minority government. He has a high support rate now; whereas Dion looks very indecisive as a opposite party leader.
    [ reply ]
    1. black-shoulder black-shoulder 58 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Dion is in a very tricky situation, and he's not handling it well. He knows most Canadians are still very unwilling to go into an election, but every time the Conservatives bring up something that does not go with the Liberal's mindset, Dion just goes off blasting the Conservatives' point of view, only to either vote to support it after or to abstain from voting to prevent the government from falling. He can sugar-coat it all he wants about how he is doing this because he knows Canadians don't want to go to another election, but he always comes across like he is afraid to lose the election.

      Harper, on the other hand, plays this game very, very well. He knows Dion is afraid, so he continues to push his agenda and makes the government a very efficiently running machine. One may agree or disagree with some of the policies, but the efficiency shown in this minority government is really quite remarkable.
  4. black-shoulder black-shoulder 59 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 85% ] No
    (more)
    Stephane Dion does not have the courage to bring down the government for a federal election. The key to this by-election is that all four ridings were traditionally Liberal strong-holds. So the fact that the Liberals won 3 of 4 seats actually does not mean their popularity is soaring - it merely means it is holding on. Most view the by-election as a test for Dion's leadership - if the Liberals lose 2 or more of these seats, he's in trouble as a leader. My thinking is: things will stay the way it is for quite some time still.
    [ reply ]
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction. Or Sign in if you are already an existing member.
Copyright ©2008 Ziigo. All Rights Reserved. - User supplied content, unless specified, is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 2.5.
ZiiTrend, Ziibo, ZiiValue, Ziigo, IPredict icon, ZiiTrend logos, graphics, designs, layout, buttons, icons, and scripts are the trademarks of Ziigo.
(Served in 0.315 seconds)