The Social Prediction Community
Tags: spider monkey rcmp
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Ziibos (9)
DMMc (8)
meanstreaks (*)
Thinkr (160)
Arthur (26)
black-shoulder (6)
predictor (313)
freeman (102)
goog (30)
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Will police find the killer and/or the spider monkey from the Gr. Van Zoo?
Find out what outcome each Ziibo predicted.

Outcome: Person caught + monkey found

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 45% chance

Outcome: Person caught only

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 72% chance

Outcome: Only monkey is found

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 80% chance

Outcome: None caught, monkey not found

6 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 55% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 91% chance
Predicted: 98% chance
Predicted: 100% chance