Suggested Predictions
Ziibos (12)
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Moore stated in 1965 that the rate of acceleration in electronic circuits is exponnential, thus the speed of computers will double every 2 years. see http://en.wikipedia.org/w...
Knowing that and the fact that both intel and amd are using actually the same base technology and acheiving this rate using multiplication methods (dual quad and 8 and 16 processors, see http://www.internetnews.c...) and not bringing new tecnologies (such as optic or other types of computing technology) which were big promisses fail to deliver. Do you think these companies (intel and amd) will continue to prevail? The answers are yes using multiplication (which is the term i use for quad and 16 processors etc.). Yes using new technology. and finally no.
Comments (6)
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Also, there's a lot more emphasis on embedding lower-power cores into "smart" versions of normal and new devices, which doesn't really need new technology to grow. (Just some ultra-power-conservative designs.)
In support of this theory, I point to the tech news - which lately focuses on smart-phones, smart media-players, portable movie players, innovative user interfaces (finger-tracking, wiimotes, mind-reading interfaces, laser keyboards, etc.).
A half decade ago, the news was all about the new features in Intel/AMD cpu's. Not so much of that nowdays. Computer tech. is getting to the point where people aren't looking for a "powerful machine that does everything", but rather a "collection of handy devices that do everything, when I want and where I want." The laptop and PDA's were just the first wave.