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Will laws against polygamy be ruled unconstitutional before the end of Q2?
black-shoulder ( Score Rank: #6 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) black-shoulder  |  was scored on 08-Jul-2008 (147 days ago)
The topic may seem outrageous, but this is actually happening in Bountiful, B.C., Canada.

A Mormon community in the small town of Bountiful, B.C., has had members secretly practising polygamy. The situation was made public several years ago when one of its members was charged for exploitation of young women (and girls). Since then, a legal battle began, where polygamists are claiming that it is their religious rights to practise polygamy, even though polygamy is illegal according to Canadian laws.

Government officials are actually urging the court to review the case, fearing that the existing laws may be ruled unconstitutional. With that in mind, do you think a ruling will come down by the end of Q2, opening the floodgates for polygamy?

(Please note: this prediction is not asking if you support polygamy; it is asking if you think the existing laws against polygamy will be RULED unconstitutional)
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Comments (18)
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  1. estimator estimator 147 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    Well, no news indicating the law is unconstitutional. I suppose it IS constitutional as of today. fyi, here is the latest news I can find on polygamy in Bountiful BC:
    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servle...
  2. ancienthart ancienthart 215 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    To the question, can't see it happening. Maybe in Holland?
  3. elle elle 222 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    This is against human rights...if will polygamly will be allowed then wellccome to barbarism that woman lived in the human history considered as second class human being. what will be legalise after Pedophily to don't touch the feelings of muslims who's religion allowes pedophily?
    1. rubian rubian 221 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      So do you support or against polygamy?
       
  4. Wallace Wallace 237 days ago
    + 3 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 85% ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    I think the Canadian government will pretend they don't know what's going on in Bountiful. And I think the law will continue to be constitutional in the rest of the nation.
    1. nokia nokia 237 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      make sense. no Canadian politician would play bomb against the entire nation.
       
    2. black-shoulder black-shoulder 237 days ago
      + 3 votes This is Good This is Bad
      I don't think the government can pretend Bountiful doesn't exist. There is a lawsuit out there pending, and polygamists are filing counter lawsuits saying that the law against polygamy is unconstitutional. I think the Conservatives would try to drag out the case until they win the next election by a majority, and then perhaps they would try to take this on head-on, first by re-defining the definition of marriage (while recognizing other forms of union as a legal compromise) to be one-man-one-woman, and then to come down on the people at Bountiful.

      Cases of sexual exploitation against women and girls have been reported - the society would not allow the government to duck away from the situation.
       
    3. Wallace Wallace 237 days ago
      + 3 votes This is Good This is Bad
      Found a Vancouver Sun special report on Bountiful. Very detailed and interesting:
      http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/fe...

      And some more background info on this BC town:
      http://www.rickross.com/reference/pol...

      Polygamy isn't the main issue here I guess. It is the exploitation of young women that raise Canadian's concern. I suppose you are right that the government is forced to address the issue.
       
  5. goog goog 238 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 83% ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    Polygamy will stir up even more controversy than same-sex marriage. I think the law is here to stay in Q2.
  6. black-shoulder black-shoulder 238 days ago
    + 3 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 70% ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    In my opinion, it is just a matter of time before the law is declared unconstitutional.

    And this is really not too surprising a thing: when the debate of same-sex marriage was at its highest, activists advocating the definition of marriage to be restricted to the union between one man and one woman have warned that this would happen. Once the basic definition is allowed to be changed for one group, the flood gate would open where other groups would challenge whether it is against their rights to rule their form of union (be that polygamy, marriages between siblings, or even marriage to a pet, etc) illegal.

    The then Liberals government said this would never happen. And two years after that, we are already seeing the next chapter...

    Be prepared to see human-animal and sibling marriages next.
    1. Homer Homer 238 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      I agree the legal definition of marriage is getting too loose nowadays. And it gets more difficult to defend the current definition.
       
  7. Hollowman Hollowman 238 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 82% ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    Human has a very long history in polygamy - a common practice in nobles and kings' families. Affected by Christianity, one-man-one-woman is widely adopted (or enforced) by the culture now. Can we equalize polygamy as trading black slaves? If yes, the law is constitutional.
  8. Homer Homer 238 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 70% ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    We are talking value of small community vs. the whole nation. I say the law is constitutional.
  9. Arthur Arthur 238 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 72% ] No, law is consitutional
    (more)
    No decision will be made by Q2 (ie. July).

    Even though now the polygamy is illegal in Canada, the execution is very rare and uncertain; otherwise the court already had enough evidences to break the BC community. If it is federal law, I guess the Federal Conservative party will not decriminalize it.
  10. Canadian Canadian 238 days ago
    + 4 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 74% ] Yes, law is unconstitutional
    (more)
    The law, I predict, will become unconstitutional due to its conflict with human-right (our golden-cow rule). Beyond human right, polygamy always involve destruction of family value, and woman and child abuse. That's how it draws attention of BC residents. In addition, accepting polygamy as legal marriage may trigger a new concern to our social welfare programs for protecting "any-form" of families.
    1. Canadian Canadian 238 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Indeed polygamy is on the same-line as the movement of legalizing same-sex marriage.
       
  11. Canadian Canadian 238 days ago
    + 5 votes This is Good This is Bad
    According to Canadian Federal Law (C46-293), any form of polygamy is a criminal offense.

    The Attorney General in British Columbia has expressed concerns over whether this prohibition is constitutional; an independent prosecutor in British Columbia recommended that Canadian courts be asked to rule on the constitutionality of the law against polygamy. A 2005 report by the Alberta Civil Liberties Research Centre recommended that Canada decriminalize polygamy, stating: "Criminalization is not the most effective way of dealing with gender inequality in polygamous and plural union relationships. Furthermore, it may violate the constitutional rights of the parties involved."
  12. Canadian Canadian 238 days ago
    + 5 votes This is Good This is Bad
    It WILL surely stir up a big debate in BC. This is what wikipedia mentioned about Mormom's ploygamy: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polygamy

    Although most Mormons now accept the prohibition on plural marriage, various splinter groups left the mainline LDS Church to continue the open practice of plural marriage. Polygamy among these groups persists today in Utah, neighboring states, and the spin-off colonies, as well as among isolated individuals with no organized church affiliation. Polygamist churches of Mormon origin are often referred to as "Mormon fundamentalist" who often use a disputed September 27, 1886 revelation to John Taylor as the basis for their authority to continue the practice of plural marriage.

    It is commonly known that, in Islam, polygamy is allowed, with the specific limitation that men can only have up to four wives at any one time. To my surprise, not all Islamic's countries accept polygamy. For example, polygamy is prohibited by law in Tunisia, Turkey and Bosnia-Herzegovina.
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