The Social Prediction Community
Tags: lake chad
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Ziibos (13)
ancienthart (*)
cabalco83 (*)
Homer (*)
neaera (*)
LifeTao (*)
jbacon63 (*)
Wallace (*)
DMMc (*)
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Will Lake Chad Disappear?
Find out what outcome each Ziibo predicted.

Outcome: Disappear before 2050

6 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 67% chance
Predicted: 35% chance
Predicted: 95% chance

Outcome: Disappear in 2050 - 2100

2 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 67% chance
Predicted: 64% chance

Outcome: Disappear after 2100

2 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 40% chance
Predicted: 33% chance

Outcome: Never

3 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 50% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance