Will direct flight services be available between China and Taiwan in 2008?

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Ma Ying-jeow, after being elected the president of Taiwan, indicated that charter flight services will be available between Taiwan and mainland China in July of this year. There are also many indications that Ma wants to establish more ties with mainland China, especially in the areas of economic connections, to help boost the sagging economic picture in Taiwan.

Having said that, direct flight services by a commercial airline is a rather different story. Do you think there will be a commercial airline company that would manage to be granted the rights to connect Taiwan and mainland China?

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STEP 1:  My Prediction

	ZiiValue (chance)	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	()	Possible Outcomes
	15%			Yes, a company from Taiwan
	28%			Yes, a comapnay from China
	5%			Yes, a company from HK
	2%			Yes, an 4th party country
	50%			No

STEP 2:  Comment

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