Will anything happen during the HK-leg of the Olympic torch relay?

• 55%
  accuracy

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The Olympic torch's world-wide relay will reach Hong Kong on May 2, 2008. While there were many protests and even violence in the early stage of this relay (in England and France), things seem to have settled down somewhat since, without any major incidents. That said, Hong Kong is a world city with people from all over all having access. Who would forget how ugly the HK police looked during the WTO protests where Korean farmers were tear-gased, cornered by riot police, and then stripped butt-naked in the police station for hours?

Do you think anything "wild" will happen during the HK-leg of the relay? If you think something will happen, what will happen?

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  55%

Top Predictor:   goog (81% Accuracy)

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Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

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	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	15%			Nothing will happen at all
	27%			Just peaceful protests
	11%			One tries to grab the torch
	24%			Protests lead to arrests (10+)
	18%			Tear gas + water canon
	1%			Deaths resulted
	4%			Others (please name)

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