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Will al-Qaeda launch a terrorist attack on an EU country?
was scored on 2008-04-21 EDT
Osama bin Laden has just issued a warning that there will be retribution directed towards the EU for what he describes as "insulting drawings" of the prophet Muhammad on the eve of his birthday. Do you think a terrorist attack will result from this?
Community Prediction:
ZiiValue
(chance) 		Answer
Possible Outcomes
11%
This outcome did NOT happen.
12%
This outcome did NOT happen.
76%
This outcome happened!
2 News 9 Comments Report black-shoulder black-shoulder (4806)
Predictions
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News & Video (2)
Add News / Video 1 - 2 of 2 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
A
2008-04-02
BUCHAREST, Romania----National Bank of Savings 8:4... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
B
2008-03-20
a web clip that contains a voice like bin Laden is... (more)
Comments (9)
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  1. Arthur Arthur 25 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] No
    (more)
    so nothing happened b4 the deadline of the topic.
    [ reply ]
  2. AhDrew000 AhDrew000 36 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    this topic need to state a proper timeline. Like terrorist attack before August 1 or Decemeber 31 or something alone that line.
    [ reply ]
    1. Tony Tony 35 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Maybe we can use the closing date which is 2008-04-20 EDT as the time frame. It is up to black-sholder, the author, to confirm this.
  3. Wallace Wallace 51 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 92% ] No
    (more)
    A terrorist attack won't be the result of any insult.
    [ reply ]
    1. oilman oilman 51 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      And the result of what? oil?
  4. Guru Guru 52 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 93% ] No
    (more)
    Bin Laden is still alive?!
    [ reply ]
    1. Wallace Wallace 51 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      The buy has to be alive. Otherwise, there will be no war. Oh yeah... isn't that a good thing?
  5. Homer Homer 57 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 79% ] No
    (more)
    I suppose this prediction is only limited to the period before the closing date. Only a month away, then I say the chance is low.
    [ reply ]
  6. black-shoulder black-shoulder 57 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 90% ] No
    (more)
    I think, post-911, the world is very unlikely going to see another terrorist attack to the scale of 9-11. That said, attacks of smaller scale are nearly impossible to prevent completely. Still, I doubt (and hope) that bin Laden's latest threat would not amount to something that involves a lot of casualties.
    [ reply ]
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