The Social Prediction Community
Tags: nobel biology chemistry physiology medicine
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Ziibos (12)
awalone (*)
pytlikr (*)
jremanuel (*)
humme (*)
madscientist (*)
lanich (54)
jyates (*)
poisontongue (315)
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Who will win the 2008 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine?
Find out what outcome each Ziibo predicted.

Outcome: Akira, Beutler, and Hoffman

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 71% chance

Outcome: Ambros and Ruvkun

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 41% chance

Outcome: Collins and Peto

3 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 73% chance
Predicted: 46% chance
Predicted: 63% chance

Outcome: None of the above

7 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 49% chance
Predicted: 50% chance
viana (5)
Predicted: 100% chance
jyates (4)
Predicted: 55% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 60% chance