When would Kim Jong Il step down as North Korea's leader?

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US Intelligence is reporting that Kim Jong Il, the reclusive leader of North Korea, may not have the health to lead his nation anymore. The secretive leader, who has a reputation of throwing large rallies to give himself credit, did not appear in a massive parade for his 60th birthday. The intelligence report suggests that he has suffered a "setback in his health, possibly a stroke."

Kim's absence is causing many to speculate about his health. Some are suggesting that he may have to step down from his position. Some, however, argue that he will remain in power until he dies.

Do you think Kim will step down any time in the upcoming months? If so, when?

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STEP 1: My Answer

	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyAnswer (which outcome happened?)	Possible Outcomes
	5%		before the end of October	before the end of October
	10%		before the end of November	before the end of November
	11%		before the end of December	before the end of December
	74%		after December 2008	after December 2008

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