The Social Prediction Community
Tags: rcmp merritt murder
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Ziibos (6)
Guru (10)
oWell (14)
humme (32)
black-shoulder (6)
rainbow (*)
Homer (2)
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When will the suspect in the Merritt murders be caught?
Find out what outcome each Ziibo predicted.

Outcome: before the end of April

2 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 63% chance

Outcome: before May 15

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 79% chance

Outcome: after May 15 or never

3 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 78% chance
Predicted: 77% chance