US military deaths in Iraq War by 2010

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  ziibos

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It is a sad prediction.

As of Sunday, July 20, 2008, at least 4,124 members of the U.S. military have died in the Iraq war since it began in March 2003, according to an Associated Press count. The figure includes eight military civilians killed in action. At least 3,360 died as a result of hostile action, according to the military's numbers.

Will our army be safer from now on? What is the death figure by 2010?

Prediction Guideline

• Your score is calculated at the end of the closing day by: (outcome accuracy x time weight).
• Time weight represents how much time you hold your prediction. So the early you predict, the higher your score if you get it right.
• If you update your prediction, we will score all your update(s) based on their time weight.

STEP 1:  My Prediction

	ZiiValue (chance)	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	()	Possible Outcomes
	16%			4000 - 4499
	27%			4500 - 5000
	57%			> 5000

STEP 2:  Comment

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