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Verifiable Prediction
Ubuntu still the top Linux distribution by the end of Q2 2008?
goog ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) goog  |  was scored on 08-Jul-2008 (501 days ago)
This prediction is inspired by this news:

"How big can Ubuntu get?"
http://blogs.zdnet.com/op...
"If you think desktop Linux has a future then Ubuntu is Da Bomb and Mark Shuttleworth is Da Man.
Nearly half the Linux machines checked so far in the Open Source Census are running Ubuntu, and a new, even easier-to-use release comes out tomorrow."

According to DistroWatch.com, Ubuntu is currently the top (most popular) Linux distribution:
http://distrowatch.com/st...
By the end of Q2 2008, we will use this same page to verify the result. We will use the "Last 1 Month" ranking for verification.
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Community Accuracy:  13%
Top Predictor:   MasterMind (31% Accuracy)
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News & Video
Add News / Video 1 - 4 of 18 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-07-05
 
InformationWeek - Ubuntu's consumer-friendly featu... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-06-28
A
Canonical on Tuesday released its first publicly a... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-06-24
B
InformationWeek - Linux kernel developers issued a... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-06-21
C
InformationWeek - Two rack-mount products offered ... (more)
Comments (10)
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  1. Arthur Arthur 501 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] No, Ubuntu <> Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    o infact on the "Last 1 Mont" ranking, it's openSUSE first and Ubuntu second; whereas Ubuntu is the top distribution in the last 3, 6 and 12-month periods.
    [ reply ]
  2. Tony Tony 576 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 81% ] Yes, Ubuntu = Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    Yes, Dell still has the Ubuntu option, nice.
    http://www.dell.com/content/topics/se...
    [ reply ]
  3. boori boori 576 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] Yes, Ubuntu = Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    ubuntu rules! this is by far the best distribution!
    [ reply ]
  4. ancienthart ancienthart 576 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] Yes, Ubuntu = Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    I used to use Redhat (1998), then went to Mandrake (before it became Mandriva) because they had more up to date software, and a somewhat better user experience. Then they became commercialised and started releasing crappy, buggy versions/releases. I tried to go back to Redhat - they'd thrown out most of their gui configuration tools. Tried Debian - just too much effort to configure, though I liked the stability and the higher level of control of the deb version system.
    Then I found Ubuntu - stability of Debian, excellent GUI tools, both for everyday use and configuration, up-to-date software and a humongous selection of applications, and best yet, the parent company isn't trying to squeeze it so hard that the goodness falls out - the opposite in fact.
    It would take a LOT of awesome-goodness to overcome that, and if such awesome-goodness showed up in the opensource world, it'd be a pretty good chance that it'd end up in Ubuntu anyway.
    [ reply ]
    1. will101 will101 576 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Well said. Putting together such awesome distribution is not a easy task especially in the opensource world. Ubuntu is big step in consumer acceptance of Linux. I hope it can get more exposure in the consumer world. Lots of people still think Microsoft Windows is the only OS in the world.

      I wonder if Dell still has the Ubuntu option for their laptops.
       
  5. humme humme 576 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 91% ] Yes, Ubuntu = Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    Looking at the recent stats, it is quite likely Ubuntu will stay at the top for a long long time.
    [ reply ]
  6. freeman freeman 577 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 92% ] Yes, Ubuntu = Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    Ubuntu will rule the desktop world. Even redhat announces that it will give up competing in the desktop market.
    [ reply ]
  7. nilimit nilimit 577 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 82% ] Yes, Ubuntu = Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    Yes Ubuntu reaped all the Linux's effort in the last decades.
    [ reply ]
    1. goog goog 577 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      Yeah, too be the OLPC project (http://www.ziitrend.com/predict/on/ol...)
      might switch to MS Windows... This is a sad news for Linux. I am sure Microsoft try to give out these OLPC windows license almost for free, in an attempt to brain-wash the kids in the 3rd world countries. I say, that's a pretty good long term investment.
       
  8. goog goog 577 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 89% ] Yes, Ubuntu = Top Linux Dist.
    (more)
    Ubuntu has picked up lots of momentum in the last year or so due to the ease of use/installation (IMO). I think it will only get better.
    [ reply ]
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