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Taiwan Joins WHO in 2008?
ocRabbit ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) ocRabbit  |  closed on 31-Dec-2008 (443 days ago)
Taiwan's new president, Ma, says he will reapply for a 12th time for a seat on the World Health Organization in what could be his final slap at China. Beijing insists Taiwan is a province of China and, as such, is ineligible for inclusion either in the United Nations General Assembly or the World Health Organization. WHO voted 148-17 in Geneva in May 2007 to bar Taiwan despite a particularly vigorous campaign by the island. China and its scores of diplomatic allies blocked the bid. Taiwan must apply by April 19 to be considered, a Taiwan foreign ministry spokeswoman said.

Will Taiwan be granted a seat in WHO in 2008?
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79%
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Comments (6)
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  1. ace111 ace111 659 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 76% ] Yes
    (more)
    higher chance now.
  2. bushhhh bushhhh 702 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] No
    (more)
    For Taiwan's strategy, the first move is to boost up the economy - that means developing tight economical connection with China while keeping low-profile in political issues.
  3. MasterMind MasterMind 706 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 72% ] No
    (more)
    Ma might try, but won't push too hard to get into WHO.
  4. black-shoulder black-shoulder 707 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] No
    (more)
    No way mainland China will allow Taiwan to re-enter the international scene... the absolute BEST scenario China would allow is to let Taiwan gain the "observer" status with W.H.O. - as for getting an actual membership, probably not within this generation's time.
  5. humme humme 707 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 88% ] No
    (more)
    No way. 147-17 last time. Taiwan won't stand a chance this time either. I don't see Ma pushing too hard and risk damaging the future relationship with China.
  6. oWell oWell 707 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 66% ] Yes
    (more)
    There is a slim chance before Olympics if they press hard enough on Beijing, but much less chance after the event.
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