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Next US President: McCain or Obama
ace111 ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) ace111  |  was scored on 05-Nov-2008 (381 days ago)
Barack Obama, the 2008 nominee of Democratic, is the former lawyer and state senator won a U.S. Senate seat in Illinois in 2004. John McCain, the 2008 nominee of Republican, is the U.S. senator from Arizona ran for the GOP presidential nomination in 2000, but lost to George W. Bush.

The election will be held on Nov 4, 2008. Who will be the next President of United States?
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Top Predictor:   phunke (100% Accuracy)
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2008-11-05
 
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John McCain carried Kentucky, and Barack Obama cou... (more)
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2008-11-04
A
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Millions of US voters flooded polling stations Tue... (more)
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2008-11-04
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Nov. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Barack Obama and John McCain... (more)
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2008-11-04
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Barack Obama radiated confidence and John McCain d... (more)
Comments (23)
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  1. phoenixw phoenixw 382 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    I expect McCain to concede on 11/5/08
  2. ILouro ILouro 382 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    yes we can
  3. marciabahamas marciabahamas 384 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    obama will win election god is on his side he is a will make a good president
  4. einstin2 einstin2 406 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 70% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    McCain looked like he stood a chance for a bit there, but alienating the conservative base is gonna kill him if he dosn't change dramatically.
  5. tjgray tjgray 435 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 55% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    Sarah Palin has had a much greater positive impact, to date, than expected on McCain's campaign. Once people have a chance to get to know her and her extreme views as well as the hypocrisy of her flip-flop on the 'bridge to nowhere' - keeping the feds money but opposing, at the 11th hour, the bridge itself, the plus should become a negative....
  6. kataboots kataboots 449 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 82% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    Oh my god...Palin?? I'm sorry, but he's out of his mind and has insulted Hillary supporters with this sad effort to woo them to the Dark Side. Let's hope this sinks his ship...his old, rotting, 72-year-old ship.
  7. Arthur Arthur 449 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 65% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    Americans already bear enough with Repubicans under Bush.
  8. a0443 a0443 511 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 50% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    Obama - unless security incident
  9. fbermuda fbermuda 511 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 63% ] John McCain
    (more)
    Without an announced running mate to date.
    1. Arthur Arthur 511 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      they are waiting for each other to make the first move ... so cautious now.
       
  10. ancienthart ancienthart 523 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 75% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    I'm not confident enough to go all out 100% on this one, but here in Australia, we've heard squat from McCain.
    1. chris7613 chris7613 453 days ago
      + 3 votes This is Good This is Bad
      Thats because the media chooses to report less on McCain at the moment. He has been the media darling
       
    2. Wallace Wallace 452 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      I have to agree with chris7613 on this one. The world will hear a lot more about McCain in the coming months.
       
  11. black-shoulder black-shoulder 534 days ago
    + 4 votes This is Good This is Bad
    I think it is way too early to tell at this point. Both candidates have not even finalized their vice president partner yet, and I think, this time around, it can make a huge difference.

    Clinton's comments about Obama not being able to win the big states is a fact. If Obama somehow can recruit Clinton to be a reluctant running mate, then he will have Hill and Bill both pulling strings for him, winning the women's vote.

    McCain can counter the race and gender card if he recruits Secretary of State Rice to run with him.

    Another thing: Obama's political background is very different from the mainstream politicians. While that can be used as an reinforcement for his "change" slogan, I can see media forces such as Fox and Time digging up a lot of dirt quickly against him. Because he is a virtual unknown, the damage on the first round of back-stabbing can be catastrophic.
    1. MasterMind MasterMind 533 days ago
      + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
      That's a very interesting analysis. If Obama gets Clinton as VP, and McCain gets Rice, then this election will be more like a PR war than ever. Since the political positions of both parties on various issues are so similar, this is going to be a race of "who makes the fewer mistakes wins."
       
  12. Tempus Tempus 534 days ago
    + 3 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 60% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    It'll be a very close race. Obama has a lot going for him, and he is without doubt the better speaker. His best bet is to keep the "McCain will just be a copy of Bush" line.

    But the christian right will vote for McCain, and they're way more powerful than they ought to be. Conservatives, racists and everyone who profits from the current politics, who does NOT want change, will vote for McCain.
    In addition, Hillary will continue to damage Obama, because she's aiming for 2012 and that will only work out if Obama loses in 2008.
    1. bushhhh bushhhh 534 days ago
      + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
      Very neat comment. There should be indecisive voters this time when getting close to Nov 4.
       
    2. black-shoulder black-shoulder 527 days ago
      + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
      One thing I have noticed is that the Republicans are trying to move closer to the middle from the right, while the Democrats, after Obama's win, are also quickly trying to move closer to the middle from the left.

      Truth is, in a two-party political battle, the voters at the end of the political spectrum (the hard-lined socialists, and the hard-core conservatives) will always vote their party. Parties instead are struggling to win the votes from the middle. We saw that in the Taiwan election, and have seen similar trends in Canada as well.
       
  13. rubian rubian 534 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 74% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    Americans long for a change. The political environment is more favorable for Democrats.
  14. oilman oilman 534 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 72% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    I am looking forward to see what McCain has to show us. The republican will make their move soon enough.
  15. ace111 ace111 534 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 66% ] Barack Obama
    (more)
    IMO, both have similar views on the political but Obama is more charm and young.
  16. ace111 ace111 534 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    McCain on the Issues

    Abortion: Opposes abortion rights except in cases of rape, incest or to protect the life of the mother.

    Immigration: Co-sponsored Bush-backed immigration reform legislation, which would have increased funding and improved border security technology, improved enforcement of existing laws, and provided a legal path to citizenship for some illegal immigrants. Voted to authorize construction of a 700-mile fence along the U.S.-Mexican border.

    Iraq: Voted for use of military force in Iraq. Supported Bush veto of war spending bill that would have withdrawn most U.S. troops by March 2008. Was an early proponent of sending additional American troops to Iraq.

    Same-sex marriage: Supports definition of marriage as a union between a man and a woman, but opposes a constitutional amendment banning same sex-marriage. Says individual states should decide the issue. Says a federal marriage ban might be appropriate if courts overturned state marriage laws. Supports legal benefits for same-sex partners.

    Social Security: Supports Bush plan to allow workers to divert some Social Security payroll taxes to private retirement accounts.

    Taxes: Voted against 2001 and 2003 Bush tax cut laws, but later voted in favor of extending tax cuts through 2010.
  17. ace111 ace111 534 days ago
    + 2 votes This is Good This is Bad
    Obama on the Issues

    Abortion: Supports abortion rights.

    Immigration: Supported Bush-backed immigration reform legislation, which would have increased funding and improved border security technology, improved enforcement of existing laws, and provided a legal path to citizenship for some illegal immigrants. Voted to authorize construction of a 700-mile fence along the U.S.-Mexican border.

    Iraq: Opposed use of military force in Iraq. Voted for war spending bill that would have withdrawn most U.S. troops by March 2008. Supports phased redeployment of U.S. troops. Opposed Bush's plan to send additional troops to Iraq. Had once called for troop withdrawal to begin by the end of 2006.

    Same-sex marriage: Opposes same-sex marriage, but also opposes a constitutional ban. Supports civil unions.

    Social Security: Opposes Bush plan allowing workers to divert some Social Security payroll taxes into private retirement accounts.

    Taxes: Opposed extending 2003 Bush tax cut law through 2010. Supports eliminating marriage penalty and extending child tax credit. Supports scaling back capital gains and dividends tax cuts and re-examining tax benefits for the top one percent of earners.
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