New Mexico: will Obama or McCain lead in the battleground state?

• 65%
  accuracy

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New Mexico is 43% Hispanic, the highest proportion of any state, and is home to 19 Native American pueblos and four major reservations. For two presidential elections in a row, the margin of victory in New Mexico has been narrower than anywhere else. In 2000 Al Gore won by 366 votes; four years later George Bush prevailed by 5,988. Opinion polls point to another close race this year.

There is 5 electoral votes from New Mexico. Which candidate will receive the most votes in New Mexico?

Check the latest polls / results on CNN electoral college map: http://www.cnn.com/2008/P...
Also visit ZiiTrend's election center: http://www.ziitrend.com/c...

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  65%

Top Predictor:   poisontongue (100% Accuracy)

(show accuracy distribution▼)

Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

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	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	65%			Barack Obama (Democratic)
	35%			John McCain (Republican)

STEP 2:  Comment

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