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Myanmar's Military Leaders Step Down by July 2008?
Arthur ( Score Rank: #27 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) Arthur  |  was scored on 08-Jul-2008 (60 days ago)
Myanmar struggled on May 5 to recover from a cyclone that killed more than 3,900 people and perhaps as many as 10,000, while its military leaders were moving ahead with a constitutional referendum in early May that would cement their grip on power.

"Stories get worse by the hour," one Yangon resident, who did not want to be identified for fear of government retribution, reported in an e-mail message. "No drinking water in many areas, still no power. Houses completely disappeared. Refugees scavenging for food in poorer areas. Roofing, building supplies, tools - all are scarce and prices skyrocketing on everything."

Obviously the military gov is lack of preparation for disaster. Will this incident fuel the political reform?
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2008-07-08
 
Myanmar's military regime has approved visas for m... (more)
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2008-07-07
 
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Disaster recovery and relief efforts are progressi... (more)
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2008-07-06
 
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US President George W. Bush on Sunday renewed his ... (more)
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2008-07-06
 
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Comments (6)
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  1. Arthur Arthur 60 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] No they will remain
    (more)
    The junta's grip on power remains absolute. But anger against the regime has probably never run so high. "Perhaps incremental change will emerge from engagement on humanitarian problems," said Joel Charny, vice president of U.S.-based Refugees International who visited Myanmar just before the cyclone struck.

    Meanwhile, the junta marches forward along its so-called "road map to democracy." Elections are scheduled in 2010, based on a referendum-approved Constitution which guarantees the military 25 percent of parliamentary seats and power to run the country in event of a national emergency.
  2. Tempus Tempus 102 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 90% ] No they will remain
    (more)
    Disasters very rarely put a government out of business.
  3. jiipy jiipy 110 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 83% ] No they will remain
    (more)
    not that soon, but the disaster has started their failure very soon.
  4. miniMe miniMe 115 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 93% ] No they will remain
    (more)
    they will screw for more cyclone hitting the area this summer.
  5. black-shoulder black-shoulder 124 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 90% ] No they will remain
    (more)
    They are heavily backed by the Chinese government, and are not intimidated by any external political pressure (except from their big brother China). The Chinese have no problem with the current regime, and would not want to see democratic reforms happening in countries (and regions) to which they have some clout over (see Hong Kong), so it is not going to happen.
  6. Arthur Arthur 124 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 75% ] No they will remain
    (more)
    If the military government demonstrates their ability to feed the hunger, there will be no way to bring them down at all. If they just selfishly rejecting the victims, surely everyone would stand up and fight for better life. It may be a golden chance for the Myanmar's military leaders to seal the power, or a disaster for them.
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