Michigan: will Obama or McCain lead in the battleground state?

• 56%
  accuracy

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The Great Lakes State has been a fairly safe bet for the Democrats in recent decades, giving its substantial electoral votes to Bill Clinton, Al Gore, and John Kerry. However, with each election, the margin of victory has narrowed, opening a window for the Republicans. Populism and a historically strong labor movement have dominated the state and given Democrats an advantage, but Republicans have gained ground in advancing tax cuts and other social issues appealing to "Reagan Democrats". A population exodus from Democratic Detroit has made the conservative Republican west more influential. Current polls show Michigan with a slight Obama lead (as of July 16, 2008)

There are 17 electoral votes from Michigan. Which candidate will receive the most votes in Michigan?

Check the latest polls / results on CNN electoral college map: http://www.cnn.com/2008/P...

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  56%

Top Predictor:   agentosx (100% Accuracy)

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Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

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	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	59%			Barack Obama (Democratic)
	41%			John McCain (Republican)

STEP 2:  Comment

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