How will Japan & Korea Resolve the Territory Dispute?

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The islands are known as Dokdo in Korean and Takeshima in Japanese. The group of 33 islets is about 87 kilometers (54 miles) east of South Korea's Ullung Island and 157 kilometers northwest of the Oki islands, which are part of Japan's Shimane Prefecture. South Korea has controlled the disputed territory since the 1950s.

On July 14, Japan's Education Ministry announced earlier its plan to define Dokdo as part of Japanese territory in a teacher's guidebook, which is expected to influence upcoming middle school textbooks to be published by Japan's civilian publishers and also serve as a guideline for teachers, to be used from 2012 despite Seoul's repeated opposition. Immediately, South Korea recalled the ambassador in Japan, and strongly denounced Japan's territorial claim over the disputed islets of Dokdo.

Prediction Guideline

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STEP 1:  My Prediction

	ZiiValue (chance)	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	()	Possible Outcomes
	3%			Japan will own the islets
	15%			Korea will own the islets
	2%			Military conflict
	70%			Still in negotiation
	10%			Other (please specify)

STEP 2:  Comment

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