How many seats would the Green Party win in Canada's federal election?

• 51%
  accuracy

(hide summary▲)

After successfully securing a spot in the national party's leader debate, Green Party leader Elizabeth May is making a whirlwind tour across Canada seeking support for the upcoming election.

The Green Party has been around the Canadian political landscape for a while. In the 2006 election, they have won over 650,000 votes national wide (4.48% of the popular vote), but have never managed to actually win a seat in the general election. Currently, they have one member in the parliament as a result of a deflection of a former Liberal MP.

The most recent poll has the Green Party at 11% of popular support. How many (if at all) seats would that translate into remains to be seen.

How many seats do you think the Green Party will win in the upcoming election?

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  51%

Top Predictor:   black-shoulder (78% Accuracy)

(show accuracy distribution▼)

Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

You need to upgrade your Flash Player

	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	30%			They will be shut out
	33%			1 - 5 seats
	19%			6 - 10 seats
	10%			11 - 20 seats
	7%			21 seats or more

STEP 2:  Comment

Submit Prediction Cancel