The Social Prediction Community
Tags: olympics swimming phelps
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Ziibos (13)
Wallace (*)
Tony (140)
Canada (236)
humme (109)
KarinD (*)
rchar053 (47)
jonah (*)
Spacebar (*)
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How many gold medals will Michael Phelps win at the 2008 Olympics?
Find out what outcome each Ziibo predicted.

Outcome: 2 gold medals only

No Ziibo thinks this is the most likely outcome.

Outcome: 3 - 4 gold medals

3 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 68% chance
Predicted: 82% chance
KarinD (6)
Predicted: 35% chance

Outcome: 5 - 6 gold medals

4 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 89% chance
jonah (41)
Predicted: 75% chance

Outcome: 7 or more gold medals

6 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 58% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 55% chance