The Social Prediction Community
Tags: president election usa politics news
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Ziibos (23)
mikegd (*)
jbacon63 (9)
gv63 (*)
prestontiger (*)
Jennx (*)
S0unds4il0r (*)
capemark (*)
triguy77 (16)
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How many electoral votes will the presidential election be decided by?
Find out what outcome each Ziibo predicted.

Outcome: Obama > 50 votes

10 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 40% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 26% chance
Predicted: 88% chance
Predicted: 40% chance
Predicted: 100% chance
Predicted: 74% chance
Predicted: 100% chance

Outcome: Obama 20 - 50 votes

4 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 32% chance
Predicted: 35% chance
Predicted: 51% chance
gv63 (9)
Predicted: 100% chance

Outcome: Obama 10 - 20 votes

2 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 87% chance
Predicted: 21% chance

Outcome: Obama < 10 votes

3 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 76% chance
Predicted: 39% chance
Predicted: 54% chance

Outcome: McCain < 10 votes

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
zulie (8)
Predicted: 34% chance

Outcome: McCain 10 - 20 votes

1 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 28% chance

Outcome: McCain 20 - 50 votes

No Ziibo thinks this is the most likely outcome.

Outcome: McCain > 50 votes

2 Ziibos think this outcome is the most likely:
Predicted: 25% chance
Predicted: 21% chance