The Social Prediction Community
Tags: aids hiv vaccine
Bookmark and Share
Ziibos (16)
ancienthart (44)
hach22 (*)
Paradigm77 (224)
AhDrew000 (121)
Milo (162)
vladimirhinz (*)
cialis (224)
humme (24)
more...
▼ advertisement
Challenge Your Friends
What is ZiiTrend?
HIV Vaccine by 2010?
yancy ( Score Rank: #169 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) yancy  |  closed on 01-May-2008 (218 days ago)
An HIV vaccine is a hypothetical vaccine against HIV, the etiological agent of AIDS. As there is no known cure for AIDS, the search for a vaccine has become part of the struggle against the disease. The urgency of the search for a vaccine against HIV stems from the AIDS-related death toll of over 25 million people since 1981. Indeed, in 2002, AIDS became the primary cause of mortality due to an infectious agent in Africa (UNAIDS, 2004). Therefore, a HIV vaccine is generally considered as the most likely, perhaps the only way by which the AIDS pandemic can be halted. However, after over 20 years of research, HIV-1 remains a difficult target for a vaccine. Therefore, a HIV vaccine is generally considered as the most likely, perhaps the only way by which the AIDS pandemic can be halted. Current research aims to develop safe, effective, accessible, preventive HIV vaccines for use throughout the world. Will the vaccine be done by 2010??
ZiiValue
(chance)
Possible Outcomes
19%
81%
Predictions
Hide ▲
  • Zoom:
  • Current
  • 7d
  • 1m
  • 3m
  • 6m
  • 1y
  • 2y
News & Video
Add News / Video 1 - 4 of 75 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-12-01
 
The body's initial response to contracting HIV cou... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-11-30
 
Vsthumb
As World AIDS Day is marked on Monday, the fight a... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-11-26
 
EpiVax, Inc., a leader in the field of computation... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-11-20
 
Sooner is better when it comes to treating infants... (more)
Comments (8)
Add Comment
  1. ancienthart ancienthart 238 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] No
    (more)
    HIV is just too adaptable for a simple vaccine to work. We can't even kill of influenza for crying out loud. Multiple-pathway treatments that cure in the early stages, maybe. (5% chance by 2010, 25% chance by 2020.)
    1. zhia-cou zhia-cou 140 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      That's quite a pessimistic view. I really pray that will be a heal for China, my home country.

      China are currently an estimated 700,000 people living with HIV in China, including about 75,000 AIDS patients. During 2005 around 31,000 people died from AIDS. These large numbers must be considered in the context of China's extremely large population which is estimated at around 1,300 million. Although UNAIDS reports that China’s HIV epidemic remains one of low prevalence overall (0.1%), there are pockets of high infection among specific sub-populations and there is danger of the epidemic spreading further into the general population.

      There were many so-called AIDS villages in China. Villagers were infected while selling their blood in a poor-hygiene environment. So sad that the epidemic spread very quickly as villagers flocked to make quick money ><
       
  2. cialis cialis 301 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] No
    (more)
    I don't think it will happen in 2010, but I think it will happen before the end of this century. I think so far focus should be on reducing the number of drugs and side effects involves in cocktail therapy.
  3. inb9190 inb9190 302 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] No
    (more)
    maybe too optimistic.
  4. trmagee trmagee 303 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    It will eventually happen but two years is probably too optimistic.
  5. goog goog 303 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] No
    (more)
    I hope it is coming. But 2010 is a bit rush?
  6. Pauldb Pauldb 303 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 95% ] Yes
    (more)
    I sincerily hope it will be done for 2010.
    It have to be done, too much people are doing because of that...
    But as we all know, it's better to prevent than cure... So guys protect yourselves...
  7. yancy yancy 304 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 80% ] Yes
    (more)
    Think about the horrible virus spreading in developing countries as well as in side your family. The vaccine is so important for too many people. I feel quite positive with the latest DNA tech. Hope they get it done by 2010 or even earlier.

    If you want to know more about the topic, read here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV_vacc...
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction.
OR
Sign in if you are already an existing member.