Hit $150 a barrel oil in Q3 2008.

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We have seen a barrel oil hitting $140 this year. And this a scary scene. Most of us probably don't want to see this happening again unless we are investing in crude oil futures. Some analysts say this spike is just a bubble waiting to burst, and some say oil price won't go down due to permanent decrease in global supply.

We don't have to look too far. Let's predict Q3 2008, and see if we will hit $150 a barrel. We will verify the result based on bloomberg:
http://www.bloomberg.com/...

Please note that we will close this prediction before Q3 so the result will be more interesting.

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STEP 1: My Answer

	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyAnswer (which outcome happened?)	Possible Outcomes
	55%		Yes, Hit $150 a barrel oil	Yes, Hit $150 a barrel oil
	45%		No, Stay below $150 a barrel	No, Stay below $150 a barrel

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