Great Coalition in Germany dissolves in 2008

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Germany is currently ruled by a great coalition of its two major parties, the CDU and the SPD.

Ever since the coalition started, there has been in-fighting and squabbling. The coalition was formed mainly because no major party could form a majority coalition with any single minor party, and three-party coalitions are very unusual in Germany.

Will the great coalition last? This prediction says the great coalition will be officially dissolved before the end of the year. That means an official announcement as to that effect. If new elections are triggered for any reason, this prediction is also considered true.

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STEP 1: My Answer

	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyAnswer (which outcome happened?)	Possible Outcomes
	41%		Yes, the coalition dissolves	Yes, the coalition dissolves
	59%		No, or at least not in 2008	No, or at least not in 2008

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