Gallup Poll Daily: Obama vs McCain on Sep 24, 2008

• 56%
  accuracy

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The Sept. 14-16 Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows Barack Obama with 47% support among registered voters, and John McCain with 45%; although not a statistically significant lead for Obama, this marks the first time since the week of the Republican National Convention that McCain has not held at least a slight edge.

The Wednesday result is produced by encompassing Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday's interviewing.

What is the poll result posted on Sep 24?

source: http://www.gallup.com/pol...
ziitrend's vote center: http://www.ziitrend.com/c...

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  56%

Top Predictor:   poisontongue (96% Accuracy)

(show accuracy distribution▼)

Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

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	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	2%			Obama leads 9% or more
	4%			Obama leads 6% - 8%
	35%			Obama leads 3% - 5%
	29%			Tie (between 0% - 2%)
	26%			McCain leads 3% - 5%
	2%			McCain leads 6% - 8%
	3%			McCain leads 9% or more

STEP 2:  Comment

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