Gallup Poll Daily: Obama vs McCain on Oct 8, 2008

• 48%
  accuracy

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The Sept. 28-30 Gallup Poll Daily tracking update of registered voters finds Barack Obama at 48%, and John McCain at 44%, marking a slight narrowing of the race from the 8-point margin Obama held earlier this week. With the bailout proposal dominating the campaign trail, Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama must balance sending out a message of a bipartisan solution while trying to gain a political advantage.

The Wednesday result is produced by encompassing Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday's interviewing.

What is the poll result posted on Oct 8?

source: http://www.gallup.com/pol...
ziitrend's vote center: http://www.ziitrend.com/c...

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  48%

Top Predictor:   jazzisacat (100% Accuracy)

(show accuracy distribution▼)

Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

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	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	11%			Obama leads 9% or more
	23%			Obama leads 6% - 8%
	30%			Obama leads 3% - 5%
	23%			Tie (between 0% - 2%)
	9%			McCain leads 3% - 5%
	2%			McCain leads 6% - 8%
	2%			McCain leads 9% or more

STEP 2:  Comment

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