Florida: will Obama or McCain lead in the battleground state?

• 55%
  accuracy

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Florida was the key player in 2000, whose votes went - narrowly and controversially - to George W. Bush, making him the effective winner. Florida has trended toward the Republican Party since 2000. For Democrats, the vote of the elderly is seen as a potential boon, due to the party's traditional stance on Medicare and Social Security (two key components of winning the elderly vote), while Republicans have an advantage with their stance on tax cuts and values issues. The Hispanic and African American populations in Florida could also give the Democrats an edge in a close race. For Republicans, the business attention of tax cuts and Cuban-American attention has made it a strong contender. Current polls show McCain with a slight lead (as of July 17, 2008).

There is 27 electoral votes from Florida. Which candidate will receive the most votes in Florida?

Check the latest polls / results on CNN electoral college map: http://www.cnn.com/2008/P...

Community Prediction in Chance

Community Accuracy:  55%

Top Predictor:   cougar222 (100% Accuracy)

(show accuracy distribution▼)

Rank Accuracy A >= 90% B >= 80% C >= 70% D >= 60% E >= 40% F < 40%

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	ZiiValue (chance)	Answer	MyValue (0% to 100% chance)	Possible Outcomes
	59%			Barack Obama (Democratic)
	41%			John McCain (Republican)

STEP 2:  Comment

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