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Election Night
mikegd ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) mikegd  |  was scored on 05-Nov-2008 (380 days ago)
At what time Tuesday night (EST) will the first American TV Network call the election for McCain or Obama?
Keep in mind west coast voting precincts do not close until 11PM EST.
Community Prediction in Chance
Community Accuracy:  55%
Top Predictor:   poisontongue (73% Accuracy)
ZiiValue
(chance)
Answer
Possible Outcomes
11%
This outcome did NOT happen.
25%
This outcome happened!
25%
This outcome did NOT happen.
9%
This outcome did NOT happen.
21%
This outcome did NOT happen.
4%
This outcome did NOT happen.
7%
This outcome did NOT happen.
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2008-11-04
A
Politics often appears to be a family affair in As... (more)
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  1. mikegd mikegd 381 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    answered: [ * ] 11:01 PM-12:00 AM EST
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    Both ABC and MSNBC, and I presume other networks simultaneously projected Barack Obama as the winner of the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election. This was one minute after most election polls closed on the west coast.
  2. mikegd mikegd 382 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    With 20 point margins in the three west coast states, I think this election will end in the first hour after voting precincts close in the west. Hmm? Will the network sponsors delay the announcement for ratings?
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