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Dividing Georgia in 2008
oWell ( Score Rank: User did not make predictions in the last 30 days ) oWell  |  closed on 01-Jan-2009 (324 days ago)
The crisis began when Georgia sent troops to the breakaway region of South Ossetia, sparking Russian intervention. Georgian forces launched a surprise attack on 7 August against separatist militiamen that it accused of attacking civilians in South Ossetia.

Saakashvili, President of Georgia, said he had signed the six-point ceasefire agreement - brokered by France - but that it was not a permanent solution. It includes a pledge to pull all troops back to their pre-conflict positions, and a plan to begin international talks about the future status of South Ossetia and a second breakaway region, Abkhazia.

Will the any of the 2 regions be independent from Georgia in 2008?
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  1. globalwarmer globalwarmer 451 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 79% ] Yes Georgia is divided
    (more)
    Today Russia formally recognized the breakaway Georgian territories at the heart of its war with Georgia, drawing immediate condemnation from the West as the United States dispatched a military ship bearing aid to a port city still patrolled by Russian troops. Russia's military presence seems likely to further weaken Georgia, a Western ally in the Caucasus region, a major transit corridor for energy supplies to Europe and a strategic crossroads close to the Middle East, Iran, Afghanistan, Russia and energy-rich Central Asia.

    It is increasing threat to divide Georgia. US and NATO has not shown effective counter measure against Russia. Iran and North Korea are the pivot points for resolving the issue in Georgia. As long as the west relies on Russian help in North Korea and Iran, the west cannot be strong together in defending Georgia.
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