The Social Prediction Community
Tags: election 2008 faithless elect..
Bookmark and Share
Ziibos (10)
Spacebar (70)
ancienthart (32)
goog (5)
cpsnyc (148)
cougar222 (21)
DMMc (11)
predictor (40)
oilman (48)
more...
▼ advertisement
Challenge Your Friends
What is ZiiTrend?
Any Faithless Elector(s) in 2008?
voteSense ( Score Rank: #148 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) voteSense  |  will close on 04-Nov-2008 (65 days from now)
A faithless elector is a member of the United States electoral college who does not cast his/her electoral vote for the person whom they have pledged to elect. Political parties choose their slate of electors in each state, and they generally select party members with a reputation for high loyalty to the party and its candidate. Moreover, a faithless elector runs a risk of censure and other political retaliation from his party. Thus, the parties have generally been successful in keeping their electors faithful, leaving out the cases in which a candidate died before the elector was able to cast a vote.

There were faithless electors in the 2000 and 2004 elections. To date, faithless electors have never changed the otherwise expected outcome of the election.

Will there be any this year?

references: http://en.wikipedia.org/w...
ZiiValue
(chance)
Possible Outcomes
70%
30%
Predictions
Hide ▲
  • Zoom:
  • Current
  • 7d
  • 1m
  • 3m
  • 6m
  • 1y
  • 2y
News & Video
Add News / Video No news / videos
Be the first Ziibo to add news to this topic.
Comments (2)
Add Comment
  1. ancienthart ancienthart 20 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 70% ] Yes
    (more)
    If there were faithless electors in 2000 and 2004, then we can assume that it's a strong likelyhood of there being one this time around. The political climate hasn't changed that much. Next election after that may show an increase or decrease in faithless electors, depending on how the world economy has changed.
  2. oWell oWell 43 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 73% ] Yes
    (more)
    It seems there would be faithless electors in every election. They became a "betrayer" for special reasons - e.g. In 2004, a Minnesota elector, pledged for Democrats John Kerry and John Edwards, cast his or her presidential vote for John Ewards [sic], apparently accidentally. (All of Minnesota's electors cast their vice presidential ballots for John Edwards.) In 2000, D.C. Elector Barbara Lett-Simmons, pledged for Democrats Al Gore and Joe Lieberman, cast no electoral votes as a protest of Washington D.C.'s lack of statehood, which she described as the federal district's "colonial status".

    There should be some unexpectedness, always.
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction.
OR
Sign in if you are already an existing member.