The Social Prediction Community
Ziibos (9)
ancienthart (123)
emfabric (*)
Paradigm77 (74)
humme (25)
alexonair (105)
opal611 (8)
wasabi (*)
Homer (2)
more...
▼ advertisement
Challenge Your Friends
What is ZiiTrend?
Abolish Software Patents in 2008?
victorp ( Score Rank: #302 based on predictions in the last 30 days ) victorp  |  will close on 31-Dec-2008 (130 days from now)
A growing number of software patents cover abstract principles that are essential to software development. Consider, for instance, patent 5,175,857, which covers simple and stupid concepts. A group of patent organizations are banding together in an effort to eliminate software patents that they claim are threatening innovation and resulting in costly and unnecessary legal battles.

The non-profit End Software Patents(ESP) project has received backing from the Free Software Foundation, the Public Patent Foundation, and the Software Freedom Law Center. The group will initially focus on two goals: helping corporations challenge software patents they believe have no legal validity; and pushing for laws that protect software innovation from patent law.

Will the software patents be obsolete this year? Do you think the software patents are helpful, or endanger innovations of both software developers and businesses?
ZiiValue
(chance)
Possible Outcomes
29%
71%
Predictions
Hide ▲
  • Zoom:
  • Current
  • 7d
  • 1m
  • 3m
  • 6m
  • 1y
  • 2y
News & Video
Add News / Video 1 - 4 of 39 news / videos
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-21
A
Palm unveils Treo Pro to battle BlackBerry ... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-18
B
Absolute Software Corporation , the leading provid... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-14
C
Dorian Software Creations, Inc. today announced co... (more)
0 vote This is Good This is Bad
2008-08-10
D
The objective of the patent system is to encourage... (more)
Comments (4)
Add Comment
  1. ancienthart ancienthart 133 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 100% ] Software patents remain legit
    (more)
    Software patents will become less relevant as litigation closes off pathways to use them, but they won't be fully abolished for at least 40 years.
  2. Homer Homer 174 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 76% ] Software patents remain legit
    (more)
    So many large companies owning so many patents. They just don't just go obsolete all of a sudden. This kind of thing will take years.
  3. victorp victorp 175 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    predicted: [ Most Likely ] [ 67% ] Software patents remain legit
    (more)
    Btw, the prediction is inspired by http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/....

    It reminds me the stupid patent of Amazon's 1-click shopping. The patents are somewhat useless, but very difficult to ask the big companies (ya you know Microsoft) to give up expensive patents. The useless patents can still be used to play legal games with other companies, esp. poor start-ups.
    1. Homer Homer 174 days ago
      0 vote This is Good This is Bad
      btw, I was browsing the Chapters Indigo site several days ago, and I notice they have the 1-click shopping thing too. This is so stupid to patent the 1 click shopping process.
       
Add a Comment
Join us to comment on this prediction.
OR
Sign in if you are already an existing member.