World & Local Predictions
"Share your opinions on the latest predictions."
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Which (if any) party leader would resign after the Canadian federal election?
[ Most Likely ]
Stephane Dion, Liberals
(42% chance)
With an election often comes the resignation of a party leader who fails to meet the pre-election expectations (be that winning the election, or winning a certain number of seats). The 2008 election is...
will close on 2008-10-21 EDT
How many electoral votes will the presidential election be decided by?
[ Most Likely ]
Obama > 50 votes
(26% chance)
Under the current US constitution, the election of the president of the united states shall be decided by the majority of electors from each state. Typically these electors will vote down party lines a...
will close on 2008-12-15 EST
On October 8, 2008, Barack Obama holds an 11-point lead over John McCain in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking report, 52% to 41%. This is the Obama's highest level of support to date, and also repr...
will close on 2008-10-15 EDT
In early October 2008, China denounced the US government's decision to sell arms worth of about US$6.5 billion to Taiwan. The US government, in spite of China's repeated solemn representations, notifie...
will close on 2009-02-01 EST
California Proposition 8 - Banning Same-Sex Marriage
[ Most Likely ]
No it is not passed
(60% chance)
On Nov 4, California will vote on whether or not same sex marriages should be allowed to be carried out in the state in a proposition 8 ballot that if passed, would see the constitution changed so that...
will close on 2008-11-04 EST
Sergey Brin admits in a company blog post that the November ballot proposal in California to ban gay marriage is an "unlikely question" for Google to take a public position. He goes on:
However, whi...
will close on 2009-02-01 EST
Earth Overshoot Day marks the day when humanity begins living beyond its ecological means. Beyond that day, we move into the ecological equivalent of deficit spending, utilizing resources at a rate fas...
will close on 2009-09-23 EDT
- The States has spent 5 trillions to undertake Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;
- The States has spent 85 billions to safe AIG;
- Most likely that the States will spend another 700 billions to bailout th...
will close on 2009-12-31 EST
Would there be another gun-related crime "forecasted" on YouTube in 2008?
[ Most Likely ]
No
(54% chance)
A recent incident in Finland begs us to ask about the role of the popular video sharing site YouTube plays in the world of gun violence.
A 22-year-old man Matti Juhani Saari posted a video on Monda...
will close on 2008-12-20 EST
Nevada: will Obama or McCain lead in the battleground state?
[ Most Likely ]
Barack Obama (Democratic)
(59% chance)
Campaigning in Nevada, the desert's other swing state, is no simpler, although there the problem is not so much a surfeit of political constituencies as the lack of one. Nevada was America's fastest-gr...
will close on 2008-11-04 EST
New Mexico: will Obama or McCain lead in the battleground state?
[ Most Likely ]
Barack Obama (Democratic)
(61% chance)
New Mexico is 43% Hispanic, the highest proportion of any state, and is home to 19 Native American pueblos and four major reservations. For two presidential elections in a row, the margin of victory in...
will close on 2008-11-04 EST
How many seats would the Green Party win in Canada's federal election?
[ Most Likely ]
1 - 5 seats
(32% chance)
After successfully securing a spot in the national party's leader debate, Green Party leader Elizabeth May is making a whirlwind tour across Canada seeking support for the upcoming election.
The Gre...
will close on 2008-10-14 EDT
The City of Toronto is considering everything from a tax to an outright ban on objects like paper coffee cups, fast-food containers and plastic bags that clog the recycling system. By 2010, Toronto wan...
will close on 2009-01-01 EST
On Sep 15, a total of 1,253 Chinese children have fallen ill after drinking contaminated milk powder, and two babies have died, China's health ministry says. The company at the centre of the growing sc...
will close on 2008-10-15 EDT
Parents will be able to ask if someone close to their family is a sex offender under new pilot schemes in England. Under the measures, police will be able to tell families if someone with access to a c...
will close on 2009-12-01 EST