Tempus's Prediction Channel

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[ Predicted ] 1% to 3% (50% chance)
 
[ End Result ] Most definitely not.
[ My Accuracy ] 36% (-8 Score)
 
[ Predicted ] Q4 2009 or after that or never (83% chance)
 
[ End Result ] cut to around $200
[ My Accuracy ] 46% (-2 Score)
Tempus's Wall
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  1. Tempus Tempus 306 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    US politicians are way too conservative to touch this even with the proverbial pole. I can see a general bailout where the adult industry could profit, but nothing specifically for them.
     
  2. Tempus Tempus 306 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    According to some news, they stopped today. This prediction should probably be closed and wait for confirmation of current events.
     
  3. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Commented on:   Social Shopping comes of age?
    What the heck is "social shopping" ?

    How can it "take off" when barely anyone knows what it is? :-)
     
  4. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    If there ever was a safe prediction, this is it - if it does happen, there'll be no one left to score it. :-)
     
  5. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    It was released on July 11, 2008. That would be Q3.
     
  6. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    I live in Germany. It would have been on the news. Nothing happened.
     
  7. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Did not happen, no silverlight on the iPhone.
     
  8. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Never seen a video or banner ad on Google, and I use it daily.
     
  9. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    According to Amazon.com:
    http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_ss_gw_...

    The rating is still M (mature)
     
  10. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Not heard of a single example.
     
  11. Tempus Tempus 319 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    He's still listed as CEO on the official Apple site:
    http://www.apple.com/pr/bios/bod.html
     
  12. Tempus Tempus 322 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Nothing on the news that indicates anything one could classify even remotely as a revolution, and he's still in office.
     
  13. Tempus Tempus 361 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Why should they? Last I checked, absolutely nobody I know over here cares for the Zune *at* *all*. Most reviews I've seen in european magazines ridiculed it. Most importantly: It failed in the easier market (US), you would have to be insane to launch it in the more difficult (for MS) market in Europe.
     
  14. Tempus Tempus 385 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Commented on:   US Arms Sale to Taiwan
    Contrary to what Arthur thinks, I believe the deal will go through because the money is desperately needed. There will be behind-the-scene deals to offset China's anger.
     
  15. Tempus Tempus 385 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Missing options:
    * I don't run windows
    * I'll switch to a non-windows OS instead

    That would've been interesting. I think I'll make a poll on that.
     
  16. Tempus Tempus 385 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    It depends, need more info: Which way do the crooks make more money? Please don't think they're worrying about solving the crisis, there's this famous quote from a top investment banker who says "you've got to buy when there's blood in the streets". As someone who's gambling with other people's money, right now there are lots and lots of opportunities.

    Remember that the stock-exchange is a zero-sum game: Money does not disappear, it just moves somewhere else.
     
  17. Tempus Tempus 391 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Missing option: Not interested in either (e.g. "already own a Wii")
     
  18. Tempus Tempus 415 days ago
    + 1 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Sorry, I'd like to contest the judgement. As the link by Homer shows, it was above $2 before the end of September - e.g. on Sep. 29. and on Sep. 26.

    It fell again, but it did go above $2.
     
  19. Tempus Tempus 423 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Absolutely not. Steve is a smart guy who knows where his place is and what his strengths are. Besides, Apple already has a very successful marketing campaign with the "I'm a Mac, I'm a PC" couple.
     
  20. Tempus Tempus 423 days ago
    0 vote This is Good This is Bad
    Absolutely. Shareholders were panicked for a while, now they've seen the taxpayer bails them out, so there's no reason to sell anymore.
     
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